Economic uncertainty, powered by the consumerization of IT, the emergence of a new generation of merchants, and retail’s brand globalization, has driven the industry to agree that localized assortments are necessary to support the best possible sales while controlling inventory and costs. The art and science of retail merchandising has changed irrevocably, concludes the report.
The fifth annual Merchandising Benchmark Report from RSR shows disturbing trends among mid-sized retailers, and more positive shifts among those who over-perform on annual comparable sales. However, the industry’s overarching appreciation of automated tools and techniques continue to rise.
The study finds that the first step to creating an optimized assortment is a solid demand forecast, while customer analytics are almost equally important. A solid demand forecast is certainly not new has moved from a supply chain tool to a merchandising tool. Advances in hardware computing power make sku-level forecasts not only feasible, but imperative.
Importance of Merchandising Tactics to Retail Success (% of Respondents) | |||
Tactic | Extremely Important | Somewhat Important | Not Very Important |
Retail forecasting for demand, replenishment, etc. | 75% | 25% |
|
Customer analytics | 75 | 25 | 4 |
Localized assortments | 48 | 42 | 10 |
Optimized merchandising cycle | 48 | 45 | 6 |
Unified pricing, promo and assortment modeling | 47 | 42 | 11 |
Lifecycle price optimization | 29 | 62 | 9 |
Source: RSR Research, August 2012 |
Over the past two years, retailers have grown savvier about the tools at their disposal, commensurate with their belief that these tools and techniques will help them grow their business. The largest retailers have educated themselves, with more than 75% of those with annual revenue exceeding US $1 billion reporting a solid understanding of most tools and techniques, though only a third of retailers with annual revenue between $50 and $999 million report a solid understanding of most of the tools and techniques discussed.
Merchants Gain Understanding of Tools and Techniques (% Rating Themselves as Having a "Solid" Understanding of Merchandising Tools and Techniques) | |
Merchandising Tool | % Saying “Solid Understanding” 2012 |
Forecasting | 68% |
Assortment Optimization | 60 |
Integrated Merchandise Planning, Allocation and Replenishment | 53 |
Promotion Optimization | 52 |
Lifecycle Price Optimization | 33% |
Source: RSR Research, August 2012 |
The research focuses on a category of retailers called “Retail Winners,” judged by year-over-year comparable store/channel sales improvements. Assuming industry average comparable store/channel sales growth of three percent, those with sales above this are “Winners,” those at this sales growth rate as “Average,” and those below this sales growth rate as “Laggards.”
It is consistent throughout much of the research findings that Winners don’t merely do the same things better, they tend to do different things. They think differently. They plan differently. They respond differently. To illustrate this, the percentage of respondents rating themselves as having a solid understanding of merchandising tools and techniques is significantly higher among winners.
Significant Differences in Understanding Based on Performance (% Rating Themselves as Having a "Solid" Understanding of Merchandising Tools and Techniques) | ||
Tool or Technique | Retail Winners | Laggards |
Promotion Optimization | 54% | 36% |
Planning Allocation and replenishment | 59 | 43 |
Forecasting | 74 | 50 |
Assortment Optimization | 68 | 43 |
Lifecycle Price Optimization | 40 | 36 |
Source: RSR Research, August 2012 |
In general, respondents rate the value of these tools about equally, regardless of sales performance, but clearly understanding differs, often dramatically.
Lagging sales, says the report, creates a self-perpetuating destructive cycle. Sales laggards tend to focus on staying afloat, which often means “promotional madness.” That may keep revenue flowing, but it has a negative impact on gross margin. While a majority of Retail Winners and Average Performers have seen gross margins either remain the same or increase over the past three years, two-thirds of laggards have seen them remain the same or decrease.
Changes to Selling Gross Margin Over the Past Three Years (% of Group) | |||
| Gross Margin | ||
| Increased | Remained the Same | Decreased |
Retail Winners | 59% | 22% | 19% |
Average Performers | 53 | 35 | 12 |
Laggards | 33 | 33 | 33 |
Source: RSR Research, August 2012 |
The report concludes by noting a drastic difference in the perceived value of these new merchandising tools and retailers’ understanding of how they can be effectively used to improve the product mix for increasingly-empowered consumers.
Quick summary of key findings:
To access the full report in PDF format, please visit RSR here.
The feelings expressed about promotion optimization, especially by the laggards, are justified. About 40% of concepts launched weren't compeling to begin with and fewer than 60% of launched campaings achieve awareness levels with a reasonable chance of generating sales.